Paul Schoemaker 13 October 2016

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  • HR & Organisation Effectiveness
  • Organisation Development & Change
  • Risk & Governance

Scenario Planning – Overview

In his opening presentations at CRF's 8th International Conference, Paul Schoemaker, wonders when was the last time you got fooled by the unexpected, when you just did not see the black swan coming or that gorilla walking by? Strategic thinkers tend to notice the unexpected sooner because they have a more prepared mind - we can too if we do scenario planning and develop a memory for the future. In this presentation we take a look at the planning process and the concept of scenario planning.

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17 October 2016

Navigating the Future - Interview with Professor Paul Schoemaker

In this brief interview with Paul Schoemaker at our 8th International Conference in Prague, we discuss how businesses can better navigate the future in the current climate of uncertainty and constant change. Paul discusses scenario planning - a useful tool for navigating the future, and why uncertainty is here to stay.

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  • Organisation Development & Change
  • HR & Organisation Effectiveness
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18 October 2016

An Uncertain World - Conference Retrospective

During the three days at CRF's 8th International Conference in Prague, our experts have guided us to look a decade ahead and broaden our understanding of the key political, economic, social and technological influences that will impact on our organisations, our people - and ourselves. The conference retrospective summarises the key messages from our speakers - Paul J. H. Schoemaker, Professor Arturo Bris, Ed Carr, Dr Carsten Sørensen and Professor Ian Goldin.

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12 October 2016

Superforecasting: How to Upgrade Your Company's Judgement

Imagine that you could dramatically improve your firm's forecasting ability, but to do so you'd have to expose just how unreliable its predictions - and the people making them - really are. Read this article by Paul Schoemaker and Philip Tetlock to find out what happened next.

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12 October 2016

The Power of Asking Pivotal Questions

In rapidly changing business landscapes, executives need the ability to quickly spot both new opportunities and hidden risks. Asking the right questions can help you broaden your perspectives - and make smarter decisions. This article will show you how.

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  • Organisation Development & Change
  • Risk & Governance
  • HR & Organisation Effectiveness
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12 October 2016

Nelson Mandela as A Strategic Leader

Nelson Mandela's life story is one that transcends borders, race, language, and culture. In this article, Paul J. H. Schoemaker argues that Mandela's remarkable story holds valuable lessons for business leaders involved in managing profound change, and considers how the core of Mandela's strategy was to encourage racial harmony, forgiveness without forgetting, power sharing, and a strong focus on the future, not the past.

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12 October 2016

Taboo Scenarios: How to Think About the Unthinkable

Taboos are a universal feature of social systems. Even the most avowedly open-minded organizations place tacit constraints on what can be said and even thought. Business leaders ignore these constraints at their peril. This article by Paul Schoemaker and Phil Tetlock examines the role of the sacred, profane, and taboo in society, and links these phenomena to the psychology of moral outrage.

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  • HR & Organisation Effectiveness
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